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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

Jesus Cañas, Diego Morales-Burnett and Luis Torres

The Mexican economy grew during the first half of 2025, surprising analysts who had anticipated a recession. However, the outlook is weak, with the consensus forecast implying economic slowdown during the second half.

Michael D. Plante and Isabelle Tseng

Commercial interests are striving to bring new lithium projects online in the U.S. at a time of growing desire to reduce reliance on China-dominated supply chains and with expectations that global demand could double over the next five years.

Anton Cheremukhin

Recent employment reports show U.S. payroll employment growth has cooled from its torrid pace in previous years, raising the question of whether this signals a healthy rebalancing or the start of a concerning slowdown.

Matthew J. McCormick and Hugo DeVere

Understanding the underlying network structure of money markets provides valuable insights for monitoring reserve scarcity and its evolution in response to regulatory and market changes.

Rosie Levy

Efficient allocation of bank reserves improves central bank balance sheet efficiency. Frictions in such redistribution can affect monetary policy implementation.

Philippe Bacchetta, J. Scott Davis and Eric van Wincoop

Starting in late 2007, the Federal Reserve, in partnership with a few major foreign central banks, began offering central bank dollar liquidity swap lines as an important liquidity backstop.

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Dallas Fed Economics