Research Department Working Papers
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology, Performance and Forecast Accuracy
This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TMOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.
March 28, 2024
Improved business outlooks, faster job growth boost Texas outlook
A majority of Texas Business Outlook Surveys participants expect increasing demand over the next six months, signaling an improving business outlook, even as inflation and wage growth in Texas remain elevated.
March 28, 2024
Texas Economic Indicators
The Texas economy expanded strongly in February. Payroll growth strengthened and the unemployment rate remained flat as it has for the past seven months, while labor force growth slowed.
March 26, 2024
Texas Economy
Modest growth continues in Texas service sector
Texas service sector activity expanded in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
March 26, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity weakened in March after stabilizing in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
March 25, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.5 percent (352,800 jobs) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.9 to 3.1 percent.
March 22, 2024
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 2.2 percent (304,200 jobs added) in 2024, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.5 to 2.9 percent.
March 08, 2024
Fort Worth works to keep up with population growth
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan's 360° Listening Tour is taking her to communities all around the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. The tour is helping deepen her understanding of the region’s people and economy by adding color and perspective that go beyond official statistics.
March 05, 2024
Texas Economy
Growth resumes in Texas service sector activity, company outlook improves
Texas service sector activity expanded in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
February 27, 2024
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity stabilized in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
February 26, 2024