Texas Economic Indicators
The Texas economy expanded in February. Employment growth was solid, and sales tax revenue increased broadly.
April 03, 2025
Texas economic outlook downbeat as uncertainty increases
The Texas economy grew slightly below trend through the first quarter of 2025. While job growth appears just off its long-term annual trend rate of about 2.1 percent, the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) point to slowing activity in both the services and manufacturing sectors.
April 03, 2025
Texas Economy
Growth decelerates in Texas service sector as company outlooks worsen
Texas service sector activity stalled in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.
April 01, 2025
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas factory activity rose in March after declining in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
March 31, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.9 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.6 percent.
March 28, 2025
Even a ‘miracle’ needs a safety net: Texas leads in growth, lags elsewhere
While experiencing exceptional economic growth over the past decade, data show that Texas is last or lagging the nation in several key areas.
March 25, 2025
Agricultural Survey
Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported sustained dry conditions across most regions of the Eleventh District.
March 24, 2025
New Mexico fuels U.S. crude oil output, funding for local programs
New Mexico has become a U.S. leader in energy production over the past five years, drawing on Permian Basin reserves in the southeastern corner of the state. Oil and gas proceeds fund an increasing share of state government, most notably involving education programs.
March 24, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.9 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.2 to 2.6 percent.
March 17, 2025
Decline in bank stress likely to continue as interest rates normalize
While the key measures suggest that conditions that hamper a bank’s resilience to economic adversity are marginally higher than before the pandemic in 2019, we expect further declines in bank stress levels as interest rates normalize.
March 04, 2025