Globalization Institute Working Paper
Social Distancing, Vaccination and Evolution of COVID-19 Transmission Rates in Europe
This paper provides estimates of COVID-19 transmission rates and explains their evolution for selected European countries since the start of the pandemic taking account of changes in voluntary and government-mandated social distancing, incentives to comply, vaccination and the emergence of new variants.
July 12, 2022
Russia counters sanctions’ impact with currency controls, averts crisis (for now)
The Russian central bank responded to unprecedented sanctions with strict capital controls that have stabilized the value of its currency—the ruble.
May 31, 2022
Commodity financing markets shaken by Russia invasion; monitoring for U.S. financial stress
While volatility in commodity markets is not unusual, rapid and correlated price increases across many different types of commodities at once is much rarer.
April 14, 2022
Asset prices, leverage and portfolio rebalancing drive global capital flows cycle
The amount of leverage—borrowed funds relative to the value of underlying assets—increases for risky holdings during downturns, motivating their ultimate sale to achieve a more secure financial position. The opposite occurs during upswings, as risky assets gain favor.
November 30, 2021
Don’t Look to the 2013 Tantrum for the Effect of Tapering on Emerging Markets
Many emerging markets have improved their external balance sheets since the volatility evidenced during the "taper tantrum" of 2013 and would be much less vulnerable to Federal Reserve tapering today.
August 10, 2021
International Economic Data
Database of Global Economic Indicators
The purpose of DGEI is to offer a broad perspective on how economic developments around the world influence the U.S. economy with a wide selection of economic indicators.
June 08, 2021
Globalization Institute Working Paper
Optimal Bailouts in Banking and Sovereign Crises
This paper finds that larger bailouts relax financial frictions and increase output but increase fiscal needs and default risk.
February 27, 2021
Emerging-market eeconomies face COVID-19 and a 'sudden stop' in capital flows
A rise in global risk at a time of investor risk aversion led to a rapid flight from emerging-market assets.
April 14, 2020
Risks abound If China uses debt to stimulate economy from current downturn
The Chinese economy is losing steam. As China considers how to work through its difficulties, its chances of success may depend on how it finances the debt it incurs while attempting to boost economic activity.
April 02, 2019
International economy
Learn about global economic growth and its effects on U.S. monetary policy