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Forecasting

 

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 1.4 percent in 2023, with an 80 percent confidence band of 0.7 to 2.2 percent.

  • Globalization Institute Working Paper

    Forecasting Inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?

    This paper evaluates the forecasting ability when inflation is viewed as an inherently global phenomenon through the lens of the workhorse New Open Economy Macro (NOEM) model.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 3.5 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.2 to 3.7 percent.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 4.3 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.9 to 4.6 percent.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast indicates that jobs will increase 4.4 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.9 to 4.8 percent.

  • Texas Employment Forecast

    The Texas Employment Forecast estimates that jobs will increase 4.2 percent in 2022, with an 80 percent confidence band of 3.7 to 4.8 percent.

  • Research Department Working Papers

    Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology and Performance

    This paper describes the survey methodology and analyzes the explanatory and predictive power of TMOS indexes with regard to other measures of state economic activity.