Dallas Fed Economics Archive
Analysis and insights to enhance your understanding of the economy
July 11, 2023
Luis Torres
Mexico's emergence followed fractious U.S. relations with China, which had moved past Canada to claim the top trading spot in 2014. The dynamic changed in 2018 when the U.S. imposed tariffs on China’s goods and with subsequent pandemic-era supply-chain disruptions that altered international trade and investment flows worldwide.
July 3, 2023
Enrique Martínez-García
While estimating r-star is fraught with difficulty, the latest evidence suggests U.S. monetary policy likely turned restrictive at the start of 2023, after the Federal Reserve started raising rates in March 2022.
June 27, 2023
J. Scott Davis
The United States has a large negative net-foreign-asset position, especially in safe assets. In times of crisis, U.S. government debt, especially short-term Treasuries, are viewed as a safe haven. As a result, the U.S. is a net debtor. It is more leveraged and tends to hold more risky assets (mostly equities) and finance those positions by selling safe-asset debt to the rest of the world.
June 22, 2023
Anil Kumar and Ana Pranger
Texas employment growth advanced in May, continuing to surpass the national average.
June 20, 2023
Tyler Atkinson
The rental rate for new leases increased about 15 percent in 2021, despite a modest increase in the most commonly watched U.S. inflation gauges. A forecast of rent inflation currently anticipates it slowing to below 6 percent by the end of first quarter 2024.
May 30, 2023
Sewon Hur
Dallas Fed economist Sewon Hur examines how sovereign debt crises can amplify banking problems.
May 16, 2023
Ana Pranger and Yichen Su
Professional services jobs have grown faster in Texas than in the U.S. since 2020, partly because of business relocations to the state. This expansion has been highly geographically clustered, with 10 of Texas’ 254 counties accounting for more than 92 percent of the statewide growth.
May 11, 2023
Laila Assanie and Prithvi Kalkunte
The Texas economy’s modest expansion appears to be slowing despite having some pockets of strength.
May 9, 2023
Jesse Thompson
In the fifth stop on her 360° in 365 Listening Tour, Dallas Fed President Lorie K. Logan met with Midland–Odessa business and community leaders in mid-April to learn about the area’s strengths, challenges and outlook.
April 11, 2023
Nitzan Tzur-Ilan, Emily Perlmeter and Xiaohan Zhang
This analysis leverages new eviction and credit data from Dallas County, Texas, to explore the impact of the moratoriums and to examine trends that surfaced once the moratoriums ended.