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Dallas Fed Economics Archive

Analysis and insights to enhance your understanding of the economy

 

  • Jesus Cañas and Stephanie Gullo

    Texas, the nation’s largest exporting state, enjoys a strong position in world trade. The state continues to see exports climb, and it exhibits a manufacturing edge in energy-related products and intermediate goods based on an index of comparative advantage.
  • Grant Strickler and Michael D. Plante

    Different crude oils can sell for dramatically different prices with sometimes far-reaching effects on the energy industry—from impacts on oil producers’ production decisions to oil refineries’ profit margins.
  • Jesus Cañas and Benjamin Meier

    Output growth in Texas has stabilized after a relatively robust 2018. However, a tight labor market, slowing energy activity and weakening global demand will restrain Texas growth during 2019, an assessment consistent with the Dallas Fed’s outlook for the year.
  • Scott Davis

    The Chinese economy is losing steam. As China considers how to work through its difficulties, its chances of success may depend on how it finances the debt it incurs while attempting to boost economic activity.
  • Mark Wynne

    Mankiw and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discussed some of the things that economists don't understand about politicians (and that politicians don't understand about economists).
  • Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

    Data from the Current Population Survey, a household survey used to compute the unemployment rate, do not include individuals who change residences. If it could include movers, our previous estimate of 2018 average individual wage growth would increase from 5.0 percent to 5.5 percent or higher.
  • Mark Wynne

    Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida discusses a range of topics, including the challenges facing monetary policymakers, the U.S. fiscal situation and the global role of the dollar.
  • Robert S. Kaplan

    In his latest essay, posted on Dallas Fed Economics, President Rob Kaplan focuses on trends in corporate debt growth and credit quality in the U.S. and discusses potential implications for economic conditions and financial stability.
  • Mark Wynne

    Few sectors of the U.S. economy have undergone as radical a transformation in recent years as the energy sector, and few loom as large in the economic fortunes of Texas and the Eleventh District.
  • Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

    There is always widespread interest in the degree to which the U.S. labor market generates higher pay for workers. A standard measure of wage growth suggests that this expansion is not improving the standard of living of workers, but our analysis reveals that actual wage growth is understated.