June 2, 2020
Mark A. Wynne
Kohn and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discussed Kohn’s career at the Fed, his experience during the Global Financial Crisis and his thoughts on the Fed’s reaction to the current crisis.
May 28, 2020
Alexander Chudik, Hashem Pesaran, Alessandro Rebucci
Voluntary social distancing and a lack of compliance with mandated polices have led to unnecessarily high infection rates and death tolls in a number of countries.
May 26, 2020
Xiaoqing Zhou
Household survey data and recent unemployment forecasts provide a basis for estimating the share of mortgage borrowers that—absent the CARES Act—would have missed a mortgage payment due to the economic shutdown.
May 22, 2020
Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Karel Mertens
Survey results for the week of May 10 suggest further declines in employment and an increase in unemployment relative to the week of April 26 – May 2, though both changes are within the survey’s margin of error.
May 21, 2020
Tyler Atkinson, Jim Dolmas, Christoffer Koch, Evan Koenig, Karel Mertens, Anthony Murphy and Kei-Mu Yi
To gain insight into the economic impact of the pandemic, we developed an index of mobility and engagement, based on geolocation data collected from a large sample of mobile devices. (Revised June 3, 2020)
May 19, 2020
Lutz Kilian, Michael D. Plante and Xiaoqing Zhou
The benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price of oil dropped by more than half from Jan. 21 to April 3. This oil price decline has weakened rather than strengthened the U.S. economy, making this event different from past episodes of falling oil prices.
May 15, 2020
Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Karel Mertens
An effective economic policy response to the rapidly evolving coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis requires timely and accurate information on its impact. To help reduce the information gap, we introduce the Real-Time Population Survey.
May 14, 2020
Garrett Golding, Martin Stuermer and Jesse Thompson
The dramatic decline in the price of oil has led to massive investment reductions by U.S. oil and gas producers.
May 12, 2020
Anil Kumar
The coronavirus crisis could more adversely affect the Texas economy than the U.S. economy due to the state’s relatively large share of at-risk jobs, a review of data suggests.
May 7, 2020
Laila Assanie and Chloe Smith
Virus containment measures have prompted unprecedented declines in demand and triggered mass layoffs, shaking business and consumer confidence.