Speeches and essays
Why I’ll be cautious about further rate cuts
While the labor market has undeniably slowed, not all of the slowing represents economic slack, and inflation remains persistently above target.
September 30, 2025
Working Paper
Subcontracting in Federal Spending: Micro and Macro Implications
This paper studies the critical but underexplored role of subcontracting in shaping the spatial and firm-level effects of federal government spending.
September 22, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.3 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.0 to 1.6 percent.
September 19, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Renewable energy jobs surge, though data differ on where and by how much
Better understanding of the workforce implications of rising electricity demand, particularly at the state and local levels, is critical to planning and anticipating its economic and policy impacts.
August 26, 2025
San Antonio
San Antonio maintains business-friendly posture despite uncertainty
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan's second visit to San Antonio on her 360 Listening Tour centered on how Bexar County business and community leaders are handling uncertainty driven by tariffs, immigration and artificial intelligence (AI).
August 25, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.5 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.1 to 1.9 percent.
August 15, 2025
Southwest Economy
Texas economy softens amid uncertain outlook
Texas’ overall pace of economic growth is trending lower, with payroll employment declining in June, a marked turn from robust job gains earlier in 2025.
August 11, 2025
Working Paper
The Fatal Consequences of Brain Drain
This paper examines the welfare consequences of reallocating high-skilled labor across national borders.
August 04, 2025
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast indicates jobs will increase 1.7 percent in 2025, with an 80 percent confidence band of 1.3 to 2.1 percent.
July 18, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Texas firms open to AI as tariff work-around strategy
Firms are adopting AI and automation to offset rising tariff costs and shrinking margins, aiming to boost productivity and reduce labor needs amid economic challenges.
July 17, 2025