Decline in bank stress likely to continue as interest rates normalize
While the key measures suggest that conditions that hamper a bank’s resilience to economic adversity are marginally higher than before the pandemic in 2019, we expect further declines in bank stress levels as interest rates normalize.
March 04, 2025
Proportionate margining for repo transactions
Traders in the repurchase agreement (repo) market protect themselves from the default of their counterparties through margin collected via haircuts on repo transactions. Recent research showing that haircuts on many Treasury repo transactions are low or zero has raised concerns that margining practices in this market are insufficiently strict.
February 21, 2025
Surveys
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volume continued increasing at a rapid pace in February while loan demand accelerated further. Credit tightening continued, but loan pricing declined.
February 18, 2025
Research Department Working Papers
Financial Technology and the 1990s Housing Boom
This paper shows that locations exposed to initial adopters of Freddie Mac’s Loan Prospector system experienced an early housing boom due to a switch to statistically-informed underwriting rules.
January 17, 2025
Surveys
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volume accelerated sharply in December. Credit tightening continued, but loan pricing declined, both at the same pace as six weeks ago.
December 30, 2024
Eleventh District community banks outperform peers despite weaker credit quality
Eleventh District community banks will likely continue to outperform their nationwide peers in terms of profitability, given their larger share of noninterest-bearing deposits.
December 27, 2024
Research Department Working Papers
Gender Gaps in the Federal Reserve System
To better understand the stalled progress of women in economics, this paper constructs new data on women’s representation and research output in one of the largest policy institutions—the Federal Reserve System.
December 05, 2024
Research Department Working Papers
Audit Partners and Loan Loss Provisioning: Evidence from U.S. Bank Holding Companies
Using confidential data on audit partner names from 2006 to 2019 for bank holding companies (BHCs), this paper examines partners' impact on loan loss provisioning.
November 20, 2024
Surveys
Banking Conditions Survey
Loan volume and loan price declines continued in November, as did credit tightening, with the pace of change similar to six weeks ago.
November 18, 2024
Research Department Working Papers
The Macroeconomics of Labor, Credit and Financial Market Imperfections
An increasing share of corporate loans, a critical source of firm credit, are sold off banks’ balance sheets and actively traded in a secondary over-the-counter market. This paper develops a microfounded equilibrium search-theoretic model with labor, credit and financial markets to explore how this secondary loan market affects the real economy.
October 22, 2024