A comprehensive list of recently added postings on Dallasfed.org.
Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macroeconomic News on Yields
We consider the influence of domestic and U.S. macroeconomic news surprises on daily bond yields over the January 1999 to January 2018 period for four advanced Negative Interest Rate Policy economies.
April 3, 2019
Estimating Impulse Response Functions When the Shock Series Is Observed
We compare the finite sample performance of a variety of consistent approaches to estimating Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) in a linear setup when the shock of interest is observed.
April 2, 2019
Houston Economic Indicators
Houston job growth, leading and coincident indicators, and oil and fuel prices have improved over the past few months. Mining-related employment continued to grow, and bank lending expanded faster in the region than the nation.
April 2, 2019
Risks abound If China uses debt to stimulate economy from current downturn
The Chinese economy is losing steam. As China considers how to work through its difficulties, its chances of success may depend on how it finances the debt it incurs while attempting to boost economic activity.
April 2, 2019
Agricultural Survey, First Quarter 2019
Bankers responding to the first-quarter survey reported overall weaker conditions across most regions of the Eleventh District.
April 1, 2019
El Paso Economic Indicators
El Paso’s economy continues to expand. While employment contracted in February, jobs rose 1.2 percent year to date. Existing-home sales dipped, while median-home prices inched up in February.
April 1, 2019
PCE Inflation Update, January 2019
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index declined 0.7 percent at an annualized rate in January following a 0.7 percent annualized increase a month earlier.
March 29, 2019
San Antonio Economic Indicators
The San Antonio economy expanded at a stable rate in February. The unemployment rate declined, and the San Antonio Business-Cycle Index continued to expand, though at a rate slightly below the long-term trend.
March 29, 2019
Global Perspectives: Greg Mankiw on economic advice, climate change and trade
Mankiw and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan discussed some of the things that economists don't understand about politicians (and that politicians don't understand about economists).
March 28, 2019
Dallas-Fort Worth Economic Indicators
Dallas–Fort Worth economic growth continued in February, with payroll employment expanding and unemployment staying low. Looking at the two-month period, employment performance has been healthy—above the metro’s long-run average.
March 27, 2019