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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

Anton Cheremukhin, Daniel Wilson and Xiaoqing Zhou

For policymakers, interpreting labor market conditions increasingly requires looking beyond headline payroll growth and incorporating timely measures of immigration and labor supply.

Shan Ge, Stephanie Johnson and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan

The rise in homeowners insurance premiums since the pandemic is not just a pricing issue; it is a growing source of financial stress, inequality and geographic sorting.

Lutz Kilian, Michael Plante and Alexander W. Richter

The ongoing military conflict between Iran and the United States and Israel has raised concerns about a major disruption of global oil supplies driven by geopolitical events. This conflict has involved attacks on oil infrastructure in neighboring countries, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.

Owen Kay, Lutz Kilian and Reid Taylor

Even a modest data center boom could put upward pressure on retail electricity prices, impacting PCE inflation.

Michael Plante, Adefemi Abimbola, Kunal Patel and Isabelle Tseng

With demand for electric vehicles failing to meet ambitious projections, automakers, battery companies and utilities are reassessing how best to deploy battery power.

Scott Davis

Artificial intelligence’s impact on the labor market will depend on whether the technology automates or augments worker tasks.

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Dallas Fed Economics