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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

Owen Kay, Lutz Kilian and Reid Taylor

Even a modest data center boom could put upward pressure on retail electricity prices, impacting PCE inflation.

Michael Plante, Adefemi Abimbola, Kunal Patel and Isabelle Tseng

With demand for electric vehicles failing to meet ambitious projections, automakers, battery companies and utilities are reassessing how best to deploy battery power.

Scott Davis

Artificial intelligence’s impact on the labor market will depend on whether the technology automates or augments worker tasks.

Lutz Kilian

Interest has recently increased in the question of whether the destabilization of inflation during the 1970s might repeat itself in the 2020s.

Rosie Levy and Matthew McCormick

As system liquidity declines and rates of return rise, new types of participants enter repo markets as lenders, although some may not be able to reliably deploy cash in the early morning when markets are most active. The short tenor and early-morning timing of most private market repo transactions make domestic banks especially inelastic lenders in response to unanticipated demands for lending.

Hugo De Vere, Srini Ramaswamy, Seth Searls

Financing needs related to AI data center investments are likely to be large and persistent. While the overall economics of such investments remains a topic of much debate, the duration supply implications for U.S. interest rate markets have received less attention.

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Dallas Fed Economics