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Research and analysis of economic trends and developments

Tyler Atkinson and Shane Yamco

In recent years, unemployment has gradually ticked up, and job searchers report increased difficulty finding new work. Is this related to AI?

Enrique Martínez García and Mark Wynne

During a presentation and discussion hosted by the Global Institute last month, Steve Kamin discussed how tariffs, volatility and evolving payment technologies are challenging—but not yet dislodging—the dollar’s position as a reserve currency at the center of the global financial system.

Brendan Kelly and J. Scott Davis

Nearly 30 percent of China's industrial firms operate at a loss, up from 20 percent before the pandemic. The question arises: How can this be sustained?

J. Scott Davis and Brendan Kelly

China’s private sector debt ballooned from 2008 through 2016, among the largest and most sustained such increases historically. Notably, this Chinese credit growth was financed entirely from domestic savings, unlike many other examples of rapid credit expansion elsewhere.

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

The Federal Open Market Committee adjusts the stance of monetary policy primarily by changing its target range for the federal funds rate. A new measure examines rate transmission efficacy across interest rates in a variety of money markets.

Benjamin Hoham and Fang Yang

Analysts have taken notice of the large share of total U.S. spending attributable to the very highest earners. The concerns are that the emergence of K-shaped growth—bifurcated activity at an elevated rate among high earners and much more restrained among most others—may put the U.S. in greater economic peril.

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Dallas Fed Economics