2016

Research Publications
Regional Economy Improves Further, but Risks to Outlook Remain
Updated: September 23, 2016
The Texas economy has been in expansion after contracting in first quarter 2016, suggesting the worst of the energy bust may be over.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, September 2016 image
Updated: September 22, 2016
San Antonio economic activity decelerated sharply in August. The San Antonio Business-Cycle Index slowed significantly due to continued weak job growth and a greater uptick in the unemployment rate. A notable downward shift in the pace of growth in the summer suggests that while economic growth in San Antonio will likely remain positive, it will be significantly weaker this year compared with last.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, September 2016 image
Updated: September 19, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in August. Employment grew overall and in the oil and natural gas sector, which had declined each month for over a year. Existing-home sales had mixed growth across Texas’ major metros, while exports continued their rapid decline.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, Aug. 2016 image
Updated: August 25, 2016
San Antonio economic activity decelerated in July. The San Antonio Business-Cycle index slowed to below its long-term average on a decline in employment and an uptick in the uemployment rate in July. Weak year-to-date job growth suggests that 2016 growth will be positive but well below last year’s 3.1 percent pace.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, August 2016 image
Updated: August 22, 2016
The Texas economy's performance was mixed in July. Employment expanded but unemployment rose. Existing-home sales fell in July, while housing prices and inventories increased. Exports broadly declined in the second quarter
Research Publications
Texas Employment Revised Down in First Quarter, Rebounds in Second
Updated: July 29, 2016
Texas employment grew at a 1.1 percent annualized rate in June; however, a big downward revision to first-quarter job growth resulted in a year-to-date decline of 0.1 percent on an annual basis.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, July 28, 2016 image
Updated: July 28, 2016
San Antonio economic activity decelerated in June. The San Antonio Business-Cycle index slowed to just below its long-term average as June job and unemployment data came in unusually weak.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, July 2016 image
Updated: July 25, 2016
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, June 23, 2016 image
Updated: June 23, 2016
The San Antonio economy picked up in May. The San Antonio Business-Cycle Index accelerated to its fastest pace in four months, and job growth was the fastest of any of Texas’ major metro areas.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, June 2016 image
Updated: June 20, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in May. Payroll employment grew slightly during the month, and unemployment held steady.
Research Publications
Texas Economy Faces Cross Currents
Updated: June 17, 2016
The Texas economy has seen slight improvement on net, but overall presents a mixed picture. On the upside, employment growth rebounded in April after nearly halting in March.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, May 2016 image
Updated: May 26, 2016
The San Antonio economy held steady in April. The San Antonio Business-Cycle index decelerated, primarily due to job growth that was revised downward in March and remained weak in April. The local unemployment rate remained at a low level, suggesting ongoing labor market tightness.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, May 2016 image
Updated: May 23, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in April. Payroll employment grew during the month, although unemployment edged up. The Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey production index continued to be positive, but housing starts declined in March. Exports rose in the first quarter after two consecutive quarters of decline, and the estimated value of the Texas Leading Index increased in April.
Economic Indicators
Permian Basin Economic Indicators, First Quarter 2016 image
Updated: May 11, 2016
The Permian Basin economy is slowing as the rig count continues to decline. Payrolls stagnated over the first quarter, and the unemployment rate edged up. Home sales and retail sales slowed while housing affordability was mixed.
Research Publications
Regional Growth Continues to Stagnate
Updated: April 28, 2016
Texas employment growth decelerated further in March to a 0.1 percent annualized rate.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, April 2016 image
Updated: April 21, 2016
The San Antonio economy grew at a moderate pace in March. The San Antonio Business-Cycle index decelerated but remained nearly two percentage points above trend.
Annual Report 2015
After the Boom: Texas Economy Downshifts in Energy Bust
Updated: April 20, 2016
While the global oil price collapse has slowed Texas' economic growth, the state is in a much better position to weather the storm than it was during the 1980s recession and banking crisis, according to the Dallas Fed's 2015 Annual Report.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, April 18, 2016 image
Updated: April 18, 2016
The Texas economy continued to slow in March. Payroll employment remained relatively flat during the month, and unemployment held steady.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, March 31, 2016 image
Updated: March 31, 2016
The San Antonio economy expanded at a moderate pace in February. Growth in the San Antonio Business-Cycle Index decelerated but continued above trend.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, March 2016 image
Updated: March 28, 2016
The Texas economy moderated in February. Payroll employment inched up during the month, and unemployment ticked down.
Research Publications
Regional Growth Decelerates in Oil-Dependent Areas
Updated: March 18, 2016
The regional economy continues to expand, but recent data suggest that growth likely decelerated in February relative to January.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, March 10, 2016 image
Updated: March 10, 2016
The San Antonio economy expanded rapidly in January. Job growth picked up sharply, rising by more than double the state rate, while the metropolitan unemployment rate fell for a second consecutive month.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, Mar. 2016 image
Updated: March 7, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in January. Payroll employment increased during the month, and unemployment ticked down.
Special Report
At the Heart of Texas: Cities’ Industry Clusters Drive Growth
Updated: February 17, 2016
This special report is a comprehensive look at the industry clusters, history and demographics shaping eight of Texas' key metropolitan areas: Austin, Dallas, El Paso, Fort Worth, Houston, McAllen, Midland-Odessa and San Antonio. For each city, the report's authors identify the dominant industry clusters--those that exceed the national average in their share of employment--that drive that city's economy.
News Releases
Jesús Garza Appointed to Dallas Fed's San Antonio Branch Board
Updated: February 12, 2016
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors has appointed Jesús Garza of Austin to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas’ San Antonio Branch board of directors. He will serve a three-year term ending Dec. 31, 2018.
Dallas Fed Board of Directors
Jesús Garza
Updated: February 9, 2016
Jesús Garza joined the San Antonio Branch board in 2016
Research Publications
Signs That Slower Growth Will Persist in the Regional Economy
Updated: February 1, 2016
The Eleventh District economy continued its modest growth through the end of 2015 even as the near-term outlook dimmed.
Economic Indicators
San Antonio Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 28, 2016
The San Antonio economy continued to expand moderately in December. Job growth dipped slightly negative, contrasting with the continued mild growth in the state.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, Jan. 2016 image
Updated: January 25, 2016
The Texas economy expanded in December. Payroll employment increased during the month; however, unemployment continued to edge up. Housing starts climbed in November, and home sales strengthened in December. November exports continued to fall, and the estimated value of the Texas Leading Index dipped further in December following November's decline.

 

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