2015

Economic Research Publications
El Paso Economic Indicators, February 24, 2015 image
Updated: February 24, 2015
Overall economic activity continues to expand in El Paso, according to the Dallas Fed's El Paso Business-Cycle index.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Texas Service Sector Activity Continues to Expand and Business Conditions Improve Slightly
Updated: February 24, 2015
Texas service sector activity continued to reflect expansion in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. The revenue index, a key measure of state service sector conditions, edged up from 12.1 to 13.6 but remained below its 2014 average.
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas Manufacturing Activity Remains Flat
Updated: February 23, 2015
Texas factory activity posted a second month of no growth in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, remained near zero (0.7) and indicated output was essentially unchanged from January levels.
Speeches by President Richard W. Fisher
Remarks Upon Acceptance of the Mexican Order of the Aztec Eagle
Updated: February 17, 2015
Remarks Upon Acceptance of the Mexican Order of the Aztec Eagle
Community Development Publications
COS: Modest Job Improvement Encourages Service Providers in Eleventh District image
Updated: February 17, 2015
In January 2015, we asked service providers how they evaluated changes in the needs of low- and moderate-income (LMI) households—ranging from the availability of jobs and affordable housing to financial well-being and access to credit—for the last six months of 2014.
Research Publications
Houston Economic Indicators, February 12, 2015 image
Updated: February 12, 2015
The Houston Business-Cycle Index decelerated to 4.3 percent growth in December after rising a revised 5.8 and 7.2 percent in November and October.
Speeches by President Richard W. Fisher
Suggestions After a Decade at the Fed
Updated: February 11, 2015
Suggestions After a Decade at the Fed (With Reference to Paul Volcker, Roosa Boys, Hogwarts, the Death Star, Ebenezer Scrooge, Mae West, Herb Kelleher, Worms and Camels, Peter Weir, Charles Kindleberger, Pope Francis and Secretariat)
Economic Research Publications
Austin Economic Indicators, February 5, 2015 image
Updated: February 5, 2015
The Austin economy grew at a stable pace in December. Jobs expanded at a modest annualized rate of 0.7 percent, while the unemployment rate fell sharply to 3.7 percent.
Globalization Institute Publications
2014 Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Annual Report
Updated: February 5, 2015
This year's institute annual report contains essays by three of the senior staff of the institute explaining how their individual research programs have helped advance our understanding of globalization.
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
U.S. Shines Despite Dim Global Outlook
Updated: February 3, 2015
Weakness in the euro area, Japan and some emerging economies (especially oil-exporting countries) has dimmed the global outlook.
Research Publications
Behind the Numbers: PCE Inflation Update, December 2014
Updated: February 2, 2015
The headline, or all-items, PCE price index fell at a 2.8 percent annualized rate in December, following a 2 percent rate of decline in November.
Reports on Regional Economic Activity
Texas Economic Update: January 2015 (Video) image
Updated: February 2, 2015
Mine K. Yücel, Dallas Fed senior vice president and director of research, provides updates on Texas job growth and the energy sector.
Research & Data
Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate
Updated: February 2, 2015
The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate for December was an annualized 0.7 percent. According to the BEA, the overall PCE inflation rate for December was -2.8 percent, annualized, while the inflation rate for PCE excluding food and energy was 0.1 percent.
Research Publications
Oil Price Decline Continues; Consumer Sentiment Drives Output
Updated: January 30, 2015
Economic data released since mid-December indicate robust growth in the second half of 2014. Oil prices continued to decline, boosting household real disposable income.
Research Publications
Mexico Economy Plods Along Despite Headwinds
Updated: January 30, 2015
Mexico's economy continued growing into the fourth quarter as the monthly proxy for gross domestic product (GDP) picked up in October and November following lackluster third-quarter output growth of 2 percent.
Economic Research Publications
San Antonio Economic Indicators, January 29, 2015 image
Updated: January 29, 2015
San Antonio Economic Indicators is a monthly web publication of key economic indicators that offers a snapshot of the San Antonio economy.
Research Publications
Regional Outlook: Moderate Growth Ahead
Updated: January 29, 2015
Economic growth in the Eleventh District moderated somewhat as oil prices fell to five-year lows. Oil well permits and the Texas rig count have seen significant declines, and exports have continued to fall.
Economic Research Publications
El Paso Economic Indicators, January 27, 2015 image
Updated: January 27, 2015
Overall economic activity continues to expand in the El Paso metropolitan area, according to the Dallas Fed's El Paso Business-Cycle index.
Research Publications
Dallas–Fort Worth Economic Indicators, January 27, 2015 image
Updated: January 27, 2015
The Dallas-Fort Worth economy continued to expand at a solid pace in December. In 2014, DFW employment grew at 3.6 percent, matching the state's 3.6 percent rate but outpacing the nation's 2.1 percent increase.
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Texas Service Sector Activity Increases at a Slower Pace as Optimism Wanes
Updated: January 27, 2015
Texas service sector activity expanded at a slower pace in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey. The revenue index, a key measure of state service sector conditions, dropped from 22.2 to 12.1, its lowest reading in 11 months.
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Texas Manufacturing Activity Stalls and Outlook Worsens
Updated: January 26, 2015
Texas factory activity was flat in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, came in at 0.7, indicating output was essentially unchanged from December.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, January 26, 2015 image
Updated: January 26, 2015
The Texas economy continues to expand, with employment growing at a 3.7 percent annualized rate in December.
Economic Letter
Current Account Surplus May Damp the Effects of China's Credit Boom image
Updated: January 20, 2015
In contrast to similar credit expansions in the euro periphery in the 2000s and East Asia in the 1990s, China's credit boom is far less likely to end in a dramatic bust because it's financed by domestic savings.
Research Publications
Dallas Beige Book
Updated: January 14, 2015
The Eleventh District economy expanded at a slightly slower pace over the past six weeks than in the previous report.
News Releases
2015 Texas Job Growth Forecast Still Healthy Despite Oil Price Shock, Says Dallas Fed
Updated: January 13, 2015
State Projected to Add 235,000 to 295,000 Jobs This Year; Less Than 2014, According to Bank's Annual Texas Economic Outlook
Research Publications
Houston Economic Indicators, January 2015 image
Updated: January 8, 2015
The Houston Business-Cycle Index growth rate slowed to 6 percent in November from 7.4 percent in October.
Research Publications
Oil Prices Plummet amid Growing Supply–Demand Imbalances
Updated: January 8, 2015
Oil prices plunged during the fourth quarter as a result of expanding world oil supply and changes in expectations for future supply and demand.
Economic Indicators
Texas Economic Indicators, January 2015 image
Updated: January 7, 2015
The Texas economy continues to expand, with employment growing at a 3.2 percent annual rate in November. Texas existing-home sales, single-family permits and housing starts all fell in November. Texas exports decreased from October to November. Manufacturing activity rose at a faster pace in December than in November, according to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.
Economic Research Publications
Austin Economic Indicators, January 2015 image
Updated: January 2, 2015
The Austin economy grew at a steady pace in November. Jobs grew at a modest pace of 2.3 percent annualized, while the unemployment rate remained flat at a low 4.1 percent.

 

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