2014

Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Global Growth Outlook Weaker but Still Positive
Updated: July 31, 2014
The world growth outlook remains positive but has weakened slightly with recent data releases, especially in emerging economies. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reduced its forecast for 2014 global growth from 3.7 percent to 3.4 percent but kept its forecast for 4 percent growth in 2015 unchanged.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 186: The Domestic Segment of Global Supply Chains In China under State Capitalism image
Updated: June 27, 2014
The Domestic Segment of Global Supply Chains In China under State Capitalism
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 185: Learning to Export from Neighbors image
Updated: June 27, 2014
Learning to Export from Neighbors
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 184: Bank Crises and Sovereign Defaults in Emerging Markets: Exploring the Links image
Updated: June 27, 2014
Bank Crises and Sovereign Defaults in Emerging Markets: Exploring the Links
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Slowdown Could Be Ahead for Advanced Economies Outside of U.S.
Updated: June 24, 2014
The pace of global growth (excluding the U.S.) remained unchanged in first quarter 2014.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 183: Capital Goods Trade and Economic Development image
Updated: May 23, 2014
Capital Goods Trade and Economic Development
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 182: Very Long-Run Discount Rates image
Updated: May 22, 2014
Very Long-Run Discount Rates
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 181: International Capital Flows and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Spain image
Updated: May 20, 2014
International Capital Flows and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Spain
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 180: Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling image
Updated: May 19, 2014
Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 179: The Role of Direct Flights in Trade Costs image
Updated: May 7, 2014
The Role of Direct Flights in Trade Costs
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Low Inflation and Slower Medium-Term Growth Accompany Uneven Recovery
Updated: May 6, 2014
World (excluding the U.S.) economic growth stood at 3 percent year over year in fourth quarter 2013
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 178: Credit Booms, Banking Crises, and the Current Account image
Updated: May 5, 2014
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 177: Error Correction Dynamics of House Prices: An Equilibrium Benchmark image
Updated: May 2, 2014
Error Correction Dynamics of House Prices: An Equilibrium Benchmark
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 176: What Drives the German Current Account? And How Does it Affect Other EU Member States? image
Updated: April 30, 2014
What Drives the German Current Account? And How Does it Affect Other EU Member States?
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 175: Banking on Seniority: The IMF and the Sovereign's Creditors image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Banking on Seniority: The IMF and the Sovereign's Creditors
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 174: Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Cross-country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Cross-country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 173: Minimum Wages and Firm Employment: Evidence from China image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Minimum Wages and Firm Employment: Evidence from China
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 172: Trade Linkages and the Globalisation of Inflation in Asia and the Pacific image
Updated: April 30, 2014
Trade Linkages and the Globalisation of Inflation in Asia and the Pacific
Globalization Institute Publications
2013 Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Annual Report
Updated: March 31, 2014
The Globalization Institute's 2013 annual report highlights the work of the Institute's staff and Research Associates over the past year. The lead articles address the importance of innovations in transportation technology as drivers of globalization and alternative ways of measuring the external value of the dollar.
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Is the Tide Turning Back?
Updated: March 25, 2014
Economic activity improved for the world during the second half of 2013 as year-over-year growth ticked up to 3 percent with the acceleration in advanced economies.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 171: Capital Controls as an Instrument of Monetary Policy image
Updated: February 27, 2014
Capital Controls as an Instrument of Monetary Policy
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 170: Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a Large Bayesian VAR image
Updated: February 10, 2014
Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a Large Bayesian VAR
Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute
Global Economic Growth Acceleration Tempered by Deflation Risks
Updated: January 31, 2014
The global economy is expected to post increased growth in 2014 after expanding at 3.0 percent in 2013.
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 169: A Contribution to the Chronology of Turning Points in Global Economic Activity (1980-2012) image
Updated: January 24, 2014
A Contribution to the Chronology of Turning Points in Global Economic Activity (1980-2012)
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 168: Vertical Integration and Supplier Finance image
Updated: January 16, 2014
Vertical Integration and Supplier Finance
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 167: The Boy Who Cried Bubble: Public Warnings against Riding Bubbles image
Updated: January 14, 2014
The Boy Who Cried Bubble: Public Warnings against Riding Bubbles
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 166: Database of Global Economic Indicators (DGEI): A Methodological Note image
Updated: January 9, 2014
Database of Global Economic Indicators (DGEI): A Methodological Note
Institute Working Papers
Institute Working Paper No. 165: Monitoring Housing Markets for Episodes of Exuberance: An Application of the Phillips et al. (2012, 2013) GSADF Test on the Dallas Fed International House Price Database image
Updated: January 9, 2014
Monitoring Housing Markets for Episodes of Exuberance: An Application of the Phillips et al. (2012, 2013) GSADF Test on the Dallas Fed International House Price Database

 

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