|
June 2002
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Houston Branch
Houston
in 1900 Part 1. The Rise of the Regional City
| This newly designed issue
of Houston Business traces the Houston
economy's transition from growth powered by cotton
and lumber to growth fueled by oil and the opening
of Houston's deepwater port. Part 1 covers the years
1836, the year Houston was founded, to 1900. |
|
At the beginning of the 20th century,
Houston was riding a wave of economic expansion that would
transform the Texas economy. Houston had a population of only
44,600 in 1900, and there were 182,000 residents in what is
now the eight-county metro area, including the competing city
of Galveston. Between 1875 and 1900, Houston found itself
at the center of the state’s rapidly maturing rail network,
which for the first time afforded access to the inland regions
of Texas.
Beginning in 1875, three resource booms—in
cattle, cotton and lumber—transformed different parts of the
state. Cattle was not a significant Gulf Coast industry, nor
did Houston grow much cotton or cut much timber. But the city
capitalized on the expansion of Texas cotton and lumber production
on a grand scale through its transportation links, access
to capital and growing managerial expertise.
When Houston was founded in 1836, its
economic role was that of merchant and trader. It received
and marketed agricultural goods from the countryside and sent
consumer goods, hardware and other supplies back to the farm.
The original market area was centered in seven counties directly
west of the city. The railroad would later extend Houston’s
market area into the Blackland Prairie to the north and the
Piney Woods of East Texas.
Houston’s merchant and trader role continued
as the city’s hinterland expanded. But by 1900 Houston had
also developed into an important regional capital by offering
the best transportation and communications links and administrative
and technical skills on the Gulf Coast.
This article documents the Houston economy
up to the turn of the 20th century, when the city transitioned
from growth powered by cotton and lumber to growth fueled
by oil and the opening of Houston’s deepwater port.
Early Transportation
Before the arrival of the
railroad, much of Texas was isolated and landlocked. A number
of Texas rivers run north to south and into the Gulf of Mexico,
but none was navigable for long distances.[1] Brothers Augustus
C. and John K. Allen arrived in Texas shortly after the battle
of San Jacinto in search of the state’s most interior point
with year-round water transportation to the gulf. They selected
the headwaters of Buffalo Bayou as the site for the new city,
which they named for Sam Houston, hero of San Jacinto.
The Allen brothers founded Houston to
provide an inland market for the produce of the rich agricultural
region along the Brazos River bottoms. Houston merchants shipped
the produce on to Galveston Bay, where it was loaded on coastal
vessels headed to New Orleans or Matamoros. In return for
cotton, sugar, wool and hides from the interior, Houston merchants
provided consumer goods and hardware for the farms and plantations.
Cutting 50 miles off the trip to Galveston
Bay was a significant step forward in 1836. Interior travel
in Texas at that time was by stagecoach for passengers, ox-
or mule-drawn freighter for goods. Oxcarts or Conestoga wagons
typically carried about 7 tons of freight. Rates were high,
as much as $1 per 100 pounds per 100 miles. Roads were often
quarter-mile-wide ruts that turned to bog when it rained.
According to John Stricklin Spratt, "In timbered regions,
roads were classified according to the height of the stump,
and where none were higher than six inches, the road was [considered]
first class." [2]
At peak market periods in winter, ox-drawn
freighters lined Houston streets. But there were few bridges,
and winter rains brought mud and high water that could shut
down Houston business for a week or more.
The difficulty of getting goods out
of the interior before the Civil War can also be illustrated
by the inland port of Jefferson on Cypress Bayou in northeast
Texas—a distant second to Houston in terms of cargo volume.
The bayou was navigable only a few months of the year, but
it allowed cotton to move across Caddo Lake to Louisiana and
ultimately downriver to New Orleans.
Bad roads persisted in Texas well into
the 20th century. Beginning in 1882, downtown Houston experimented
with planks, bricks, macadam, gravel, and blocks of limestone,
cypress and bois d’arc. But by 1903, the city still had only
26 miles of paved roads. The first all-weather road to Galveston
(a necessary precursor for a trucking industry) would not
be completed until 1928.[3]
Railroads and Resources
The agricultural riches
and population density surrounding pre–Civil War Houston,
along with the high cost of freight, prompted construction
of a railroad network radiating from Houston. Texas’ first
railroad was built by Gen. Sidney Sherman in 1850 in an attempt
to revive the town of Harrisburg, seven miles south of Houston.
Just as the Buffalo Bayou, Brazos and Colorado Railway reached
the Brazos River bottomlands in 1856, the city of Houston
built a connecting line, the Tap Railroad, to forestall expansion
at Harrisburg. Houston later sold the Tap Railroad to private
interests, which extended it 50 miles to the southeast, to
the sugarcane fields of Brazoria County. In 1857 a third line,
the Houston and Texas Central, reached 50 miles northwest
from Houston to Hempstead.
The first train reached Galveston Island
from Houston in 1860, and by 1861 the Texas and New Orleans
Railroad had completed 100 miles of track running east from
Houston to Beaumont and Port Arthur. This Gulf Coast web of
railroads, all centered in Houston, accounted for 90 percent
of the state’s track on the eve of the Civil War.
The railroads solved the difficult problem
of intercity transportation. Reconstruction brought a burst
of railroad building in Texas. Half the track built in the
19th century (4,548 miles) was laid between 1875 and 1885,
and by 1900 Texas was No. 1 among the states in miles laid.[4]
By 1910, 17 railroads served Houston, and only one more would
follow—the Missouri Pacific in 1927. By the turn of the century,
the railroads had reached all parts of the state.
The Texas Cattle Industry
Railroads opened the state’s
resources to intensive and rapid exploitation. Cattle, cotton
and lumber boomed. Houston was at the center of this railway
expansion from the beginning. Not only did the extent of the
hinterland served by Houston’s merchants and traders grow
rapidly after 1875; economic activity within the region flourished
as well.
The rapid but short-lived expansion
of the cattle industry across the Great Plains had little
impact on the upper Texas Gulf Coast. As Walter Prescott Webb
points out, the birthplace of the Texas cattle industry lay
deep in South Texas, within a diamond-shaped area running
from San Antonio to Laredo, on to Matamoros, and then along
the lower Gulf Coast as far as Old Indianola.[5] The combination
of Mexican cattle, abundant grass, water and horses created
a vast agricultural area that served as the foundation of
San Antonio’s economy well into the 20th century.
With the arrival of the railroads west
of the Mississippi in 1866, the cattle industry exploded onto
the Great Plains. Removal of Native Americans and decimation
of buffalo herds created vast areas of open range. Long cattle
drives started in Texas and ended at Missouri and Kansas railheads.
But by 1885 overgrazing, homesteading and barbed-wire fences
had largely ended the era of the open range. As the railroads
moved onto the plains, the cattle industry transformed itself
once more by raising improved breeds of cattle in large fenced-in
pastures, with water provided by windmills.
While the cattle boom made a lasting
impact on Texas folklore, cotton and lumber dwarfed it in
economic impact. Houston was well positioned to profit from
both Blackland Prairie cotton and East Texas timber.
Cotton and the Blackland Prairie
Commercial cotton planting
came to Texas in 1821, when Louisiana planters arrived seeking
free land from the Mexican government. Seven counties along
the Brazos River just west of Houston (Austin, Brazoria, Colorado,
Fayette, Fort Bend, Washington and Wharton) formed the state’s
first agricultural belt. The planters brought slaves and established
Southern-style plantations. Cotton and sugar were both important
early cash crops, but especially cotton.
After the Civil War, the Blackland Prairie
region to the north of Houston gradually displaced the Brazos
Valley as the state’s leading cotton-producing area. The end
of slavery disrupted the Gulf Coast’s plantation- based system.
Meanwhile, the prairie regions of northeast Texas opened up
to agriculture for reasons similar to the development of the
cattle industry in West Texas and the Panhandle: removal of
Native American and buffalo populations, arrival of the railroad
and the barbedwire fence. However, the Blackland Prairie had
the added advantages of access to national markets via rail
and the development of a sod plow to break up the prairie
soils.
So the area’s population exploded. Thousands
of immigrants poured in from the upper Southern states and
from Europe. As cotton took hold, a system of small-farm owners,
sharecroppers and tenant farmers spread rapidly, replacing
slavery. In 1899, according to the Census of Agriculture,
18 Blackland Prairie counties, stretching from the Red River
through Dallas and southwest to Austin, produced 972,000 bales
of cotton, while the seven Brazos Valley counties produced
only 216,000 bales.[6]
Dallas quickly became a major cotton-processing
center. By the 1920s it would be the world’s largest inland
cotton market. Further, the cotton gin machinery industry,
which began in the 1880s, would make the city the world’s
second largest manufacturer of farm equipment by the turn
of the century.[7] At the same time, Dallas began to develop
an important banking and life insurance sector, as companies
such as Southwestern Life and Southland Life opened in the
first decade of the century.
Smaller Blackland Prairie communities
also experienced rapid population and economic growth due
to cotton. Wilmer and Richardson sprang up on the route of
the Houston and Texas Central, the first railroad to reach
Dallas from the south in 1872. Grand Prairie and Mesquite
were established on the route of the Texas and Pacific, the
next railway to arrive in Dallas from the east. Greenville,
a connecting point for four railroads by 1899, became a leading
cotton-marketing location. Its population nearly tripled,
from 3,000 in 1884 to 8,500 by 1900. By 1912, Greenville would
have a daily paper, three weeklies, two national banks, two
opera houses and an ice factory.[8] Similar success stories
could be told for other North Texas towns, such as Commerce,
Denton, McKinney and Waxahachie.
| Table 1 |
| Population of Texas Cities, 1890–1910 |
|
|
1890 |
1900 |
1910 |
Growth rate,
1890–1910
(percent) |
| Houston |
27,557
|
44,633
|
78,800
|
5.4
|
| Galveston |
29,084
|
37,789
|
36,981
|
1.2
|
| Dallas |
38,067
|
42,638
|
92,104
|
4.5
|
| Fort
Worth |
23,076
|
26,668
|
73,312
|
5.9
|
| San
Antonio |
37,673
|
53,321
|
96,614
|
4.8
|
| Austin |
14,575
|
22,258
|
29,860
|
3.7
|
|
| SOURCE: U.S. Census, various years. |
Table 1 shows the population of the
state’s largest cities from 1890 to 1910, as the development
of the Blackland Prairie reached its zenith. From the Civil
War until 1890, San Antonio and Galveston had shared the No.
1 and No. 2 positions in population among the state’s cities.
But in 1890, Dallas briefly surged into the lead. It would
be 1930 before the pattern would be set for the rest of the
century, with Houston and Dallas as the state’s top two cities.
Using a more modern perspective, however,
Table 2 describes the populations of these cities as they
reflect current metropolitan statistical areas. The combined
Dallas and Fort Worth consolidated metropolitan statistical
area (CMSA) in 1900 surges to twice the size of the Houston
CMSA, and Austin (also in the Blackland Prairie) pulls close
to Houston. Dallas took advantage of the population density
in its hinterland to spur its own growth by building four
interurban electric railways into the surrounding communities
and sponsoring weekly Dallas Chamber of Commerce visits to
encourage economic interaction with Dallas.[9]
| Table 2 |
| Population of Selected Texas Metro
Areas (1890–1910) Under the Current Definition
of MSA, PMSA and CMSA |
|
|
1890 |
1900 |
1910 |
Growth rate,
1890–1910
(percent) |
| Texas |
2,235,523 |
3,048,710 |
3,896,542 |
2.8 |
| Houston
PMSA |
76,959 |
122,785 |
176,598 |
4.2 |
| Galveston
MSA |
31,476 |
44,116 |
44,479 |
1.7 |
| Brazoria
MSA |
11,506 |
14,861 |
13,299 |
.7 |
| Houston
CMSA |
119,941 |
181,762 |
234,376 |
3.4 |
| Dallas
PMSA |
228,581 |
320,362 |
381,298 |
2.6 |
| Fort
Worth MSA |
92,751 |
121,164 |
179,371 |
3.4 |
|
Dallas–
Fort
Worth CMSA
|
321,332 |
441,526 |
560,669 |
2.8 |
| San
Antonio MSA |
81,496 |
111,776 |
170,029 |
3.7 |
| Austin
MSA |
110,088 |
148,210 |
162,947 |
2.0 |
|
| NOTE: MSA, metropolitan statistical
area; PMSA, primary MSA; CMSA, consolidated MSA, consisting
of the primary MSA plus any adjacent MSAs. |
| SOURCES: U.S. Census, various years.
|
With more tenuous ties to the Blackland
Prairie, Houston assumed its traditional role of merchant,
trader and administrator in the cotton industry. The emergence
of Anderson, Clayton and Co. illustrates the logistical and
business advantages of Houston’s location. Monroe D. Anderson
opened the Houston office of Anderson, Clayton, then headquartered
in Oklahoma City, in 1907. Partners Ben and Will Clayton and
Frank Anderson, Monroe’s brother, would arrive over the next
several years, and the company would be reorganized in Texas
in 1920. Anderson, Clayton would become the world’s largest
cotton-marketing firm after the opening of the Houston Ship
Channel.
According to Will Clayton, "We
moved to Houston because Houston was at the little end of
the funnel that drained all of Texas and the Oklahoma territory…
in other words, we were at the back door and wanted to be
at the front door." [10]
Anderson, Clayton thrived by integrating
its business from field to mill: ginning, compressing, warehousing
and transporting. With mills located mostly outside the state,
rail and water links through Houston were crucial. Ben Clayton
explained the business thus:
| [Employees] required skill in organizing,
trading, banking, and not only in dealing with cotton
itself, but in carrying on transactions with many foreign
countries and the currencies of those countries. In many
cases, they had to be organizers or purchasers or operators
of warehouses, vegetable oil mills, refineries and cotton
gins….Some had to be qualified as diplomats who knew how
to deal with government officials and with great bankers
in other countries.[11] |
Thus, Houston and Dallas began differentiating
their territorial approaches early in the last century. In
1900 Dallas was clearly focused inward, building an economic
territory in North Texas; today it serves as an important
financial center and distribution point for Texas, Oklahoma
and Arkansas. Houston’s focus turned outward, and today it
is home to the nation’s largest foreign port and the state’s
foreign business community.
East Texas Lumber
The other wave of economic
activity brought by the railroads and helping shape the Houston
of 1900 was East Texas lumber. The great stands of pine had
largely been ignored because of a lack of transportation and
access to export markets. Because of its superior access to
capital and its communications and transportation linkages,
Houston would assume financial and administrative control
of much of the industry despite its location at the very edge
of the eastern forests.
The first large-scale lumber mills in
Texas were established in Beaumont in 1876 and 1878. Logs
were originally floated down the Sabine River to Beaumont
and Orange, but railroads quickly replaced water transport.
Before the Civil War, the railroads had only skirted the edge
of the East Texas Piney Woods. The Houston East and West Texas
Railway was the first to enter the region, crossing the San
Jacinto River from Houston to Cleveland, Livingston and Moscow.
By the time this railroad reached Cleveland, five lumber mills
were operating in its wake. In 1886, when it reached Shreveport,
it was the most important railroad in the region. Other railroads
followed, reaching into the Tyler and Lufkin areas from the
east or west. Dozens of logging railroads developed off each
main line to serve the sawmills.
By the turn of the century, lumber had
become the state’s dominant manufacturing industry measured
by either employment or value added. Lumber did not rival
cotton as an economic power, however; in 1900, there were
225,000 cotton farms and 22 million acres under cultivation.
[12] In 1907, when the lumber industry peaked, 2.25 million
board feet was cut; 99 large mills accounted for over half
of this production.[13]
In one important sense, Houston’s economic
role relative to lumber was unchanged from when the city was
founded. Houston still operated as merchant and trader, using
the new railroads into the Piney Woods to pull lumber out
and sell consumer- and farm-related goods in return.
Beaumont remained the center of the
region’s lumber mill operations, with logs or cut lumber moving
to Beaumont by rail and then shipped out of Port Arthur. However,
Houston controlled the lumber market through the companies
of such men as John Henry Kirby and Jesse H. Jones. Houston-based
operations controlled 40 percent of the 1.1 million board
feet cut in 1899.[14] The lumber never entered Houston but
went directly from East Texas mills to customers in other
parts of Texas (60 percent), in states north of Texas (24
percent), and in Europe and Mexico (16 percent).
Houston’s advantages over Beaumont were
size, better transportation and communication links, and business
sophistication. [15] Houston had become a regional gateway,
with 60 years of experience in capitalizing on the development
of Texas’ natural resources.
The Regional City
The focus of city building
before the railroad arrived was to serve the largest and richest
surrounding territory possible. Certainly, Houston used the
railroads to cement existing ties to the Brazos Valley and
to expand its hinterland into East Texas.
However, with completion of the rail
network in Texas and connection of the state’s cities to the
eastern United States, the toolbox for achieving economic
growth expanded. Sales of manufactured goods to the hinterland
remained important to the city, but sales to other large cities
were now possible. For much of the 19th century, sales from
Texas to the rest of the nation had been primarily confined
to raw or semiprocessed agricultural goods. Cheap, reliable
rail transportation opened the door for Houston to specialize
in manufactured goods and become a supplier to other Texas
or national cities.
Today, it is easy to identify urban
economic specialization: autos in Detroit, financial services
in New York, software in San Jose, oil services in Houston.
Similarly good data are not available on movement of goods
in Texas in 1900; however, we can infer much about specialization
in 1900 by determining the pattern of employment and wages
paid in specific manufacturing industries and examining how
the pattern varies across cities. A high concentration of
employment or wages paid in a particular industry and city
would suggest urban specialization and local exports of that
industry’s products from that city.[16] Differences in specialization
between cities and the surrounding countryside can tell us
about the existence and direction of trade between city and
hinterland.
To investigate Texas’ urban exports
to other cities in 1900, we selected Houston, Dallas and San
Antonio as well as 18 other cities in the southeastern United
States or the Midwest. We then chose 22 manufacturing industries
that had both employment and wages reported in 1900 for all
three Texas cities. Reporting for these industries was generally
good in the other 18 cities as well.
Table 3 lists the 22 industries considered
and the flow of trade for each between the three Texas cities
and their surrounding areas.[17] In 1900 Texas cities and
their hinterlands generally enjoyed a lively trade in these
goods and services. In the table, "h to c" indicates
a good typically sold from the hinterland to the city (blacksmithing
and saddlery, for example); "c to h" indicates the
reverse flow (plumbing, foundry and machine shop products);
and "local" means no trade occurs (photography,
house and sign painting). The results shown here are for wage
data, but the results are similar for employment data. While
details vary, both analyses indicate extensive intraregional
interaction for all Texas cities.
| Table 3 |
| Relationship of City and Hinterland:
Flow of Trade and Its Direction, 1900 |
|
Industry |
Dallas |
Houston |
San Antonio |
| Bicycle
and tricycle repair |
local |
local |
local |
| Blacksmithing
and wheelwrighting |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Boots
and shoes, custom work and repair |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Bread
and bakery products |
local |
local |
c
to h |
| Carpentering |
local |
local |
local |
| Clothing,
men's custom work and repair |
c
to h |
local |
c
to h |
| Confectionary
|
local |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Dyeing
and cleaning |
c
to h |
c
to h |
c
to h |
| Foundry
and machine shop products |
c
to h |
c
to h |
c
to h |
Furniture,
cabinetmaking, repairing
and upholstering |
local |
local |
local |
| Lock-
and gunsmithing |
local |
local |
local |
| Lumber,
planing mill products |
c
to h |
c
to h |
local |
| Millinery,
custom work |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Painting,
house, sign, etc. |
local |
local |
local |
| Photography
|
local |
local |
local |
| Plumbing,
gas and steamfitting |
c
to h |
c
to h |
c
to h |
| Printing
and publishing, book and job |
c
to h |
c
to h |
c
to h |
Printing
and publishing, newspapers
and periodicals |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Saddlery
and harness |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
Tinsmithing,
coppersmithing and
sheet-iron working |
local |
h
to c |
h
to c |
| Tobacco,
cigars and cigarettes |
c
to h |
local |
c
to h |
| Watch,
clock and jewelry repair |
h
to c |
h
to c |
h
to c |
|
| NOTE: c to h = typical flow of goods
is from city to hinterland; c to h = the opposite; and
local = no flow between city and hinterland. |
| SOURCES: Census of Manufactures,
1900; authors’ calculations from urban wage data. |
Specialization and Intercity Trade
Initially, isolated cities
produce all goods for themselves and their hinterland. For
some goods, however, transportation links among cities will
allow specialization of production, and only a few cities
will see their local industry grow to serve the others. In
other words, after specialization occurs and trade emerges,
the variance in the concentration of activity among cities
should be high.[18] In contrast, if a good is not traded and
does not move from city to city, the concentration of activity
should be similar in each city and its variance low across
cities.
Using the low-variance criterion, the
nontraded goods among our 21 cities include custom millinery,
plumbing, dyeing and cleaning, men’s custom work clothes and
their repair, printing and publishing of newspapers and periodicals,
photography, metalsmithing, and house and sign painting.
The highest variations displayed among
our 21 cities were for the eight industries listed in Table
4. These industries are our best candidates for intercity
trade. The questions that arise are whether the three Texas
cities participate as specialists in production of these goods
and whether they export these goods to other cities.
| Table 4 |
| Concentration of Selected Export Industries
in Texas Cities, 1900 |
| |
Based
on wages |
Based
on jobs |
| |
Dallas |
Houston |
San
Antonio |
Dallas |
Houston |
San
Antonio |
| Carpentering |
1.00 |
2.62 |
.20 |
1.29 |
2.83 |
.29 |
| Bread and
bakery products |
.65 |
.84 |
3.78 |
.57 |
.75 |
1.66 |
| Printing and
publishing, book and job |
1.58 |
.83 |
2.29 |
1.50 |
.87 |
2.42 |
| Tobacco |
1.19 |
.16 |
.42 |
1.74 |
.28 |
.62 |
| Lumber and
planing mill products |
1.27 |
.68 |
.27 |
1.04 |
.85 |
.29
|
| Confectionary |
.61 |
2.05 |
7.64 |
.59 |
2.47 |
7.13 |
| Saddlery and
harness |
9.23 |
.44 |
3.64 |
11.06 |
.45 |
4.24 |
| Blacksmithing
and wheelwrighting |
5.19 |
.94 |
1.69 |
2.23 |
1.13 |
2.02 |
|
| NOTE:Values greater than 1.20 (in
bold) indicate likely export activity. |
| SOURCES: Census of Manufactures,
1900; authors’ calculations. |
Table 4 shows concentration ratios,
or location quotients, which are the percentage of manufacturing
wages or employment in the industry for that city divided
by the average percentage for all 21 cities. A ratio of 1
indicates a normal concentration, equal to the average for
all cities. A ratio of 1.2 indicates a concentration of activity
20 percent higher than normal (shown in bold in the table).
Because a high level of activity indicates potential exports,
we chose 20 percent and above to indicate likely export activity.
Location quotients based on both wages and jobs are given.
As seen in the table, in 1900 Dallas
specialized in printing and publishing, lumber, saddlery and
harness, blacksmithing and wheelwrighting, carpentry and tobacco
products. Some of these exports are probably indirect—from
providing inputs to other exported goods. Carpentry and blacksmithing,
for example, are likely to be inputs to Dallas’ large cotton
gin and farm implement industry. Similarly, Houston exported
carpentry, probably in support of producing and repairing
railroad cars. Houston and San Antonio both exported confectionary,
and San Antonio exported bread and bakery goods as well as
printed material, saddlery and blacksmith services.
Thus, we see the emergence of urban
specialization in Texas as early as 1900. Among the 22 selected
industries, the eight most likely to be traded all have a
presence in Texas, with a high concentration in at least one
of Texas’ three major cities. The state’s gradual shift in
focus from farm to factory would become the most important
demographic and economic change of the last century.
Conclusion
By the beginning of the
20th century, the resource boom that had driven the Texas
economy since 1875 was coming to an end. By 1900, as the state’s
railroad network neared completion, cattle, lumber and cotton
had already reached their peak or were rapidly approaching
it. The railroads forever changed the state’s cities, providing
cheap and easy transportation and giving rise to urban exports
and intercity competition.
But a new set of economic forces would
have to drive the Texas economy into the next century. The
next issue of Houston Business will look forward
from 1900 at the economic impact of two events that ensured
Houston’s growth throughout the 20th century—the destruction
of rival Galveston by a hurricane in September 1900 and the
discovery of oil at Spindletop in January 1901.
—Robert W. Gilmer and Camella Clements
 |
| About the Author
Clements was a summer intern
in economics at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Houston Branch in 2001.
Notes
- Background information is from John Stricklin
Spratt, The Road to Spindletop: Economic
Change in Texas, 1875–1901 (Dallas:
Southern Methodist University Press, 1955),
pp. 81–84, and Kenneth W. Wheeler,
To Wear a City’s Crown: The Beginnings of Urban
Growth in Texas, 1836–1865 (Cambridge:
Harvard University Press, 1968), pp. 19–25.
- Spratt, pp. 23–24.
- David G. McComb, Houston: A History
(Austin: University of Texas Press, 1981), pp.
70 and 73.
- Spratt, pp. 26 and 32.
- Walter Prescott Webb, The Great Plains
(Boston, Ginn and Co., 1931), p. 208.
- 1900 Census of Agriculture, Part II, "Crops
and Irrigation," Table 10. Cotton production
is reported in 500-pound bales.
- Herbert Gambrell, "Dallas, Texas,"
in Walter Prescott Webb, ed., The Handbook
of Texas (Austin: Texas State Historical
Association, 1952), pp. 456–58.
- Brian Hart, "Greenville, Texas,"
in The Handbook of Texas Online (Austin:
Texas State Historical Association, 2002), www.tsha.utexas.edu/handbook/online/
[off-site] .
- Char Miller and Heywood T. Sanders, eds.,
Urban Texas: Politics and Development
(College Station: Texas A&M University Press,
1990), p. 19.
- McComb, p. 77.
- N. Don Macon, Monroe Dunaway Anderson,
His Legacy: A History of the Texas Medical Center
(Houston: Texas Medical Center, 1994), pp. 45–46.
- 1900 Census of Agriculture, "General
Statistics," Table 10.
- Robert S. Maxwell and Robert D. Baker, Sawdust
Empire: The Texas Lumber Industry, 1830–1940
(College Station: Texas A&M University Press,
1983), p. 159.
- McComb, p. 78, and Joseph A. Pratt, The
Growth of a Refining Region (Greenwich,
Conn.: Jai Press, 1980), p. 27.
- For a general discussion, see Pratt, pp. 27–30.
- The basic methods used here are described
in three sources: Stanley R. Keil and Richard
S. Mack, "Identifying Export Potential
in the Service Sector," Growth and
Change 17 (April), 1986, pp. 1–10;
Robert W. Gilmer, Stanley R. Keil and Richard
S. Mack, "The Service Sector in a Hierarchy
of Rural Places: Potential for Export Activity,"
Land Economics 65 (August), 1989, pp.
217–27; and Robert W. Gilmer, "Identifying
Service-Sector Exports from Major Texas Cities,"
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Economic
Review, July 1990, pp. 1–16.
- The results here are based on the value of
two location quotients, or concentration ratios,
as suggested by Keil and Mack. The first location
quotient is the share of the local industry
in local employment compared with the statewide
share of the same industry. The second changes
the denominator of the location quotient from
the state share to the share of a group of comparably
sized cities. The difference between the location
quotients indicates the direction of the flow
between city and hinterland. In the table, a
flow is indicated if the change in the location
quotient is ±20 percent or more.
- These results depend on the adjusted location
quotients suggested in Note 17—those having
a base of comparably sized cities. The adjusted
location quotients serve as a better measure
of intercity trade. Table 4 shows adjusted location
quotients (see Gilmer).
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Houston
Beige Book
May 2002
Job losses seem to have ended last fall,
when the Houston economy reached bottom at –8,000 jobs,
or –0.4 percent. Local employment is still down 3,000
from the April 2001 peak, but the last three months have brought
slow gains. An April turnaround in the domestic rig count
and a return of the Houston Purchasing Managers Index to the
break-even level point to likely expansion through the second
half of 2002.
Retail and Auto Sales
Retail sales continue soft,
and expectations are for continued weakness through 2002.
Retailer pessimism for much of this year has been rewarded.
Retailers who planned for weak sales have not been badly hurt
by bloated inventories or forced into last-minute promotions.
A strong March was good news for auto
dealers. Sales were up 14 percent from the year earlier, but
April wiped out these gains with a 20 percent decline. Year-to-date
auto sales are off 5 percent compared with the same period
last year.
Oil Services
The domestic rig count has
picked up sharply, with seven consecutive weeks of increases
and a 16 percent gain. The increases have mostly been land-based
and gas-directed, but respondents indicate that backlogs are
building for offshore work, and day rates offshore are just
beginning to rise. Higher oil and natural gas prices, improved
cash flows for producers and healthier balance sheets are
driving improved drilling activity.
Refining and Petrochemicals
Refiners hurried to finish
the turnaround season so they could take advantage of improving
profit margins. Instead they found crude oil prices rising
in response to turmoil in the Middle East and wholesale gasoline
prices falling slightly due to increased production. The result
has been downward pressure on profit margins and cutbacks
in production in recent weeks.
Petrochemical producers have experienced
strong demand since early spring, partly driven by inventory
accumulation. Until this spring, basic petrochemicals had
been readily available and their prices had been falling for
a year or more—giving customers little incentive to hold inventory.
As rising oil and natural gas prices
drove up production costs, however, there was a surge in demand
by customers seeking to rebuild inventory in advance of price
hikes. This restocking continues, but it is now apparent that
the economic recovery is also playing a significant role in
increasing demand. Excess capacity is still a problem for
most products, and it continues to limit profits. Numerous
price increases have been implemented, but most are simply
covering the increased cost of production due to higher oil
and gas prices.
Real Estate
The Enron effect is taking
a toll on the downtown office market and spreading to the Galleria
area. Office absorption was negative by nearly 2 million square
feet in the second quarter, with the central business district
and the Galleria area roughly dividing the losses. It was the
worst absorption figure since the early 1990s.
Upscale apartments inside the loop or
near downtown have seen a slight increase in vacancy rates,
while class B apartments outside the loop have made gains.
Citywide, rents are up about 4 percent over the past year.
Sales of existing single-family homes continue to register
solid improvement, up 10 percent in April from a year earlier.
In contrast, new home sales were off about 5 percent through
the first quarter.
| About Houston
Business
For more information or
copies of this publication, contact Bill Gilmer
at (713) 652-1546 or bill.gilmer@dal.frb.org,
or write to Bill Gilmer, Houston Branch, Federal
Reserve Bank of Dallas, P.O. Box 2578, Houston,
Texas 77252. This publication is available on
the Internet at www.dallasfed.org.
The views expressed are
those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect
the positions of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
or the Federal Reserve System. |
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