| QUICK
FACTS |
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| Shrinking
and Expanding Industries |
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| RELATED
ARTICLES |
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| "The
Churn Among Firms," Southwest Economy
Jan./Feb. 1999 (Text
or PDF) |
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"The
Upside of Downsizing," Southwest Economy
Issue 6 1996 (Text
or PDF) |
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| "The
ChurnThe Paradox of Progress,"
Annual Report 1992 (Text
or PDF) |
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Free Enterprise
Appreciating
the Churn
Dallas
Fed Chief Economist W. Michael Cox explains the creative destruction
of capitalism's growth process, also known as the
churn.
Constant, sometimes
unsettling change is an indispensable part of what could be called
the Great American Growth Machine. At its core are consumers and
their endless list of needs, wants, conveniences, amusements and
luxuries. Unlimited wants clash with the fundamental fact of limited
resourcesa.k.a. scarcity. We can't have everything we want,
but we can satisfy more of our desires if we conserve and stretch
our resources. For employers and workers, it means boosting productivity,
the driving force for higher wages. For consumers, it means shopping
for the best value. The system works because of competition: companies
vie for customers, making more money if they're able to cut costs
while offering consumers a better deal (Chart 1).

With
many competitors, there's a constant drive to find new ways to meet
consumers' needsthat is, to innovate. Companies offer lower
prices, better performance, new features, catchier styling, faster
service, more convenient locations, higher status, aggressive marketing
or attractive packaging. Innovation comes in constant waves: inventions
of new goods and services, improvements to existing products and
increases in the efficiency of the factory, farm and office. The
interplay of innovation and competition roils the status quo. New
firms and industries emerge to take the market from existing ones.
Surviving firms reorganize production using more, newer and better
tools, making workers more productive. Consumers' tastes and expectations
evolve. Companies that can no longer deliver what consumers want
at ever-cheaper prices don't survive.
As with the
churn of jobs, there's no mistaking where the change in America's
corporate pecking order is taking usto a postindustrial economy
that provides what Americans want. We may lament the tragedies of
the churn's downside, but we shouldn't lose sight of its very powerful
and important upside: it makes us better off.
What's really
going on is a healthy recycling of resources. In other words, it's
conservation, not carnage.
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What
is the Churn?
In the 1930s, Joseph A. Schumpeter advanced the idea
that an economy doesn't grow but evolves as people discover
new ways to improve their standards of living. The capaitalist
economy continuously recreates itself as resources are
redirected to new and more profitable uses. Schumpeter
called this process "creative destruction."
Today "the churn" is sometimes used to describe
the same principle. Implicit in either term is the paradox
that Schumpeter uncovered: innovationthe manifestation
of the individual's quest for gainis central to
economic progress but, at the same time, is the cause
of most economic difficulties.
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W.
Michael Cox is a senior vice president and chief economist
at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
SUGGESTED
CITATION:
Cox,
W. Michael (1999), "Appreciating the Churn,"
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Expand Your Insight,
March 1, http://www.dallasfed.org/eyi/free/9903free.html
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