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Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Growth Rate of Orders
October 2009

Growth Rate of Orders—Unweighted Index
Oct
08
Nov
08
Dec
08
Jan
09
Feb
09
Mar
09
Apr
09
May
09
Jun
09
Jul
09
Aug
09
Sep
09
Oct
09
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted
-24.2
-38.8
-40.0
-44.0
-47.0
-45.4
-27.7
-29.7
-22.1
-8.4
-6.0
-4.8
-9.6
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)
-2.4
-10.0
-10.3
-2.4
-4.6
9.4
12.6
17.5
26.9
22.4
23.5
23.8
31.9

Growth Rate of Orders—Composition of Responses
 
Oct
08
Nov
08
Dec
08
Jan
09
Feb
09
Mar
09
Apr
09
May
09
Jun
09
Jul
09
Aug
09
Sep
09
Oct
09
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted
% Increase
14.6
10.0
13.6
10.1
13.6
7.9
12.9
10.8
16.1
22.1
18.6
18.9
15.8
N/C
46.7
41.3
32.8
35.8
25.8
38.8
46.5
48.6
45.6
47.4
56.8
57.4
58.8
% Decrease
38.8
48.8
53.6
54.1
60.6
53.3
40.6
40.5
38.2
30.5
24.6
23.7
25.4
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period)
% Increase
24.3
23.4
22.7
27.8
25.6
36.0
33.5
31.6
39.3
32.6
35.4
36.4
42.1
N/C
49.0
43.2
44.4
42.0
44.3
37.4
45.6
54.3
48.3
57.2
52.7
50.9
47.5
% Decrease
26.7
33.4
33.0
30.2
30.2
26.6
20.9
14.1
12.4
10.2
11.9
12.6
10.2

NOTE: Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When all firms report that activity has increased, an index will register 100. An index will register –100 when all firms report a decrease. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase or decrease is equal. Items may not add up to 100% because of rounding.

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